Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.014487 0.016384 0.018451 0.020874 0.023640 0.026701 0.030352
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011676 0.014301 0.017413 0.021385 0.026337 0.032331 0.040166
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.009834 0.012693 0.016275 0.021115 0.027521 0.035755 0.047220
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008557 0.011524 0.015413 0.020919 0.028571 0.038913 0.054092
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.007592 0.010602 0.014704 0.020751 0.029519 0.041900 0.060930
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007028 0.010143 0.014539 0.021261 0.031397 0.046297 0.070202
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006359 0.009449 0.013947 0.021052 0.032147 0.049056 0.077253
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006023 0.009201 0.013967 0.021735 0.034279 0.054077 0.088356
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005406 0.008460 0.013160 0.021034 0.034128 0.055441 0.093590
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004953 0.007929 0.012625 0.020699 0.034510 0.057664 0.100460
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004467 0.007302 0.011875 0.019930 0.034068 0.058424 0.104796
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.004313 0.007206 0.011983 0.020612 0.036176 0.063773 0.117998
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004132 0.007054 0.011994 0.021144 0.038105 0.069065 0.131864
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003955 0.006894 0.011978 0.021628 0.040000 0.074500 0.146707
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003678 0.006534 0.011575 0.021357 0.040439 0.077208 0.156395
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003439 0.006221 0.011230 0.021159 0.040986 0.080162 0.166919
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003226 0.005939 0.010916 0.020988 0.041563 0.083219 0.178007
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003120 0.005848 0.010953 0.021505 0.043573 0.089401 0.196683
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002934 0.005588 0.010643 0.021294 0.044049 0.092399 0.208541
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002866 0.005554 0.010768 0.021985 0.046502 0.099897 0.231778
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002650 0.005208 0.010248 0.021276 0.045838 0.100441 0.238465
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002490 0.004964 0.009915 0.020936 0.045959 0.102755 0.249759
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002299 0.004643 0.009401 0.020157 0.045009 0.102499 0.254551